DC Area Forecast: Severe storms late today, then milder weather through the 4

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A somewhat subjective rating of today’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

6/10: Similar to Friday, but with thunderstorms more prevalent in the afternoon or evening. Stay hydrated and check the weather!

  • Today: Partially sunny. Afternoon/evening thunderstorms. Highs: upper 80 and lower 90.
  • This evening: Thunderstorms in the evening, then occasional showers. Bass: upper 60s and lower 70s.
  • Tomorrow: Morning shower? Clearing. Treble: 80s.

We start July in classic summer fashion. Today’s high heat and humidity are turning into a bit more tolerable heat for the rest of the holiday weekend. Independence Day should be storm-free, which is always a positive considering all the outside plans. To get to that best time, we first have to go through today. We could see heavy thunderstorms later this afternoon and evening.

Today (Saturday): The sky is likely sunnier in the morning, with increasing clouds over time as temperatures rise. In the afternoon, some of the towering clouds begin to throw rain. The main threat of severe to severe storms is in the 3-8 p.m. window. Some storms can contain damaging winds, in addition to heavy rain and frequent lightning. Before the storms, the highs rise to 90 or more on a southerly and southwesterly wind around five to 10 mph. Confidence: medium-high

This evening: While the strongest storms are expected to concentrate early, there is a chance for additional showers or garden variety storms at certain times of the night. Lows do upper 60s and lower 70s. A southerly wind during the night comes from the north at sunrise. Confidence: medium-high

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Tomorrow Sunday): Showers come out of here fairly close to sunrise, but could linger later into the morning, especially in southern Maryland. Otherwise, look for clear skies as temperatures hit the mid-80s for the highs. The humidity heads downhill with the north and northwest winds during the day. Confidence: medium-high

Tomorrow evening: The sky is generally clear and the humidity is tolerable. This mix helps send temperatures into the seasonally cool 60s throughout the region. Confidence: medium-high

The average high for Independence Day is 89, and it rises to its annual peak of 90 the following Wednesday. Typically, temperatures race to 90 Monday. Less typically, the humidity is pretty low to moderate, which is helpful if you’re camping while waiting for the fireworks. Take sunscreen and plenty of water as the sun will dominate. Temperatures are in a range of 80 to 85 per fireworks. A light southerly wind can blow smoke towards the city and obscure views. Confidence: medium-high

A chance of afternoon and evening thunderstorms returns through Tuesday. It will also be warmer than the Fourth. Look for partly sunny conditions with those afternoon clouds bubbling up in the heat and highs in the 90s as the humidity increases. Confidence: medium