Joe’s Weather Blog: Unpleasant Summer Heat Ahead (FRI-6/10) | FOX 4 Kansas City WDAF-TV

This will be the last blog for about 10 days… I’m going to take some time to visit my mom in Arizona… yes Arizona in the summer… it’s a dry heat. They are, however, outdoing themselves right now with yesterday’s highs of 109° and 110°+ likely for the next few days. When an excessive heat warning is in effect for Arizona…it’s hot!

For us, last night’s storms really weren’t a big deal as expected locally. There are still a few showers/thunderstorms possible today, but for the most part things will get warmer over the next few days. It’s humid heat here…dry heat there.

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Provide:

Today: Partly cloudy with a few showers/thunderstorms still possible but mostly staying dry. Seasonal with highs near 80…maybe below 80 in places.

Tonight: Fair and pleasant with lows in the lower 60s

Tomorrow: Warmer with highs in the mid 80s.

Sunday: Warmer with highs in the lower 90s.

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Discussion:

Let’s start with the speed cameras…

The amounts of rain overnight were nothing out of the ordinary. KCI was less than a 1/10″ or so…and for some that might be the last rain until the middle of next week.

The real story will become the heat of the building heading towards the area. This is part of the heat dome affecting the southern United States in the southwestern part of the country. This heat will increase northward over the weekend into next week. It might settle down a bit later on Wednesday and next Thursday…then it will come back, I believe, after that.

It’s going to be hot… and with all the greenery and ground moisture turning into higher dew points… the heat index will be close to 100°, or even higher in some areas.

However, there will be a lot of wind… especially from Monday to Wednesday.

So let’s get to the heat…tomorrow…(boxes represent near record heat)

Sunday…

Monday…

So a fairly strong heat surge.

Tomorrow’s air mass transition into tomorrow night could create thunderstorms somewhere, possibly towards the IA and N MO border… something to watch out for.

Some model data indicates that something might be a bit closer to KC tomorrow night as well… we won’t exactly be capped too heavily… so that’s something to watch out for too… and IF there’s a storm with the heat of the building and more dew points… I also couldn’t rule out the potential for severe weather. This morning’s NAM pattern actually has a disturbance coming from SE Nebraska…this could also be a push for something.

From there, the heat kicks into overdrive.

There could be a front in the area a bit later on Wednesday…this could trigger some storms if we can break the construction cap that should be in place.

Even after that, though… there should be a rebuilding heat. It will be interesting (for me) to see if we can have storms with the heat building up…

Also worth noting is that this is an early pattern for significant moisture to move into the deserts to the west with the potential for storms and rain next weekend.

I may see more rain in the desert than you see here in KC next week…which would be unusual for June.

The figures.

That’s it… see you on the blog on the 22nd.

The background photo is of Timothy Burkett towards Leavenworth.

Joe